By 2022, we anticipate the price of the 5-YR old asset will reach US $34.0 million, or US $10.9 million more than the 10-YR old MR2 during this period. The VLCC sector accounts for the majority of this demand at 65% of the total demand for dirty tanker tonnage using 2019 year-to-date data. Description: The BIX World 3 VLSFO 0.5 is the calculated daily average for VLSFO 0.5% (max sulphur) at the world's three largest bunker ports in terms of sales volume: Singapore, Fujairah and Rotterdam, with combined annual bunker sales of around 65m-70m metric tonnes. April 20, 2020. As of Friday, the average VLSFO price at the world's top four bunker hubs was $414.50 per ton, according to data from Ship & Bunker. Then you can access your favorite statistics via the star in the header. $20.00 Basrah. World 3 [?] New, Figures and insights about the advertising and media world, Industry Outlook On the basis of our tanker fundamentals and bunker pricing forecasts, we predict that spot market earnings for standard consumption VLCC tankers will average US $19,593/day in 2020, although the TD3C round-trip voyage will register only US $16,200/day as the higher cost of compliant bunkers outweighs our expected increase in the TD3C WS rate (2019 basis) from WS 53 in 2019 to WS 56 in 2020 as the return of tonnage supply from short term outages (scrubber installations) creates significant pressure on freight rates in 2020 amid stable, but unexciting ton-mile demand forecasts. (April 20, 2020). A year prior, the price of HFO was $427.50. For 2020, we project VLSFO to price at US $531/mt in Rotterdam as compared to US $309/mt for HSFO, allowing for some economic benefit to a scrubber solution. Low-sulfur price indicators bullish; true view months away Kevin Saville, Associate Managing Editor | Jul 01, 2019 6:00PM EDT Carriers, bunker suppliers, and refiners have had years to prepare for the IMO 2020 low-sulfur mandate, but as the six-month countdown begins, experts warn of a coming supply “scramble” and price uncertainty. Global oil demand is expected to grow 0.9% in 2019 to over 99.87 million b/d with gains projected in the middle-light end of the barrel. In particular, VLSFO price in Asia (Singapore) for a period exceeded 700 USD/TON, more than 20% increase compared to the previous bunker prices used for the Bunker Adjustment Factor (BAF) and Environmental Fuel Fee (EFF) calculation. You need a Single Account for unlimited access. VLSFO for sale in October in Singapore, the world's biggest ship fuelling port, is currently indicated at $465.25 a ton, according to data from brokers Starfuels. Demand for crude tankers in the present environment is being and will be influenced by a collection of factors including a shift in the OPEC/non-OPEC compliance accord, IMO 2020 regulations, decelerating economic activity, Iranian sanctions, higher North American output and exports, supply disruptions in Venezuela, expanding demand from Asian refiners in the context of volatile crude pricing differentials and a stable European crude demand environment. The USG/UKC Aframax trade exhibits a slightly weaker earnings profile on a round-trip basis at US $9,400/day due to the pricing of potential back-haul voyages. The value of a $ /gallon price move on this contract = Calculate $ Kerosene - 5.670 million Btus per barrel. A spread of US $220/metric ton between VLSFO and HSFO is projected in year 2020 on this basis. $20.00 Rizhao. Bunker Fuel Prices Today, IFO 380, IFO 180, MGO Prices per Ton, Live & Historical Price Charts Rotterdam, the initial price premium for VLSFO ranged between $100 to $150 per ton in July, compared to IFO380 HFO. An ECO-tanker is projected to average US $17,300/day and US $33,000/day on the TD20 round-trip trade over this same period. We find it extremely unlikely that core OPEC producers, including Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the UAE to fully remove production cuts due to the expected weakness in global oil demand in 2020 and their objective to stabilize prices, which may otherwise come under significant pressure should they abandon production quotas. The OPIS BTU Indicator helps buyers plan cost-effective fuel purchases by calculating the energy content in the new 0.5% VLSFO compared with legacy high-sulfur marine fuels. 1: Rotterdam/Antwerp: $ 305: $ 385 The Far East and Southeast Asian markets will add 1.4 million b/d and 570,000 b/d, respectively during that timeframe before slowing down considerably. In, Statista. BAF = 0.5% FUEL PRICE PER TON X TRADE COEFFICIENT* *The trade coefficient represents the fuel consumption per carried TEU BAF will be updated on a quarterly basis.Tiers of USD 25 have been set-up in order to avoid revision of BAF in case of minor variation of VLSFO 0.5% price. Houston very-low-sulfur bunker fuel lost $155.50/mt, or 24.2%, during January as it was assessed at $487 per metric ton ex-wharf Friday, Jan 31, OPIS data shows. $20.00 San Vincente. Number of cars sold in the U.S. 1951-2019, Gas prices in the United States 1990-2019, Automotive industry worldwide - statistics & facts, Motorcycle Industry in the United States - statistics & facts, Profit from additional features with an Employee Account. The increase in scrubber-equipped ships, which are projected to number near 5,000 by the end of 1H 2020, will deflect demand back to HSFO. Secondhand asset prices are expected to exhibit volatility over the next few years. Formosa's spokesperson, K.Y. The Mid-Year Tanker Market Outlook Update provides an outlook on the global tanker market in the context of global economic growth and oil fundamentals influencing tanker demand and vessel supply. Over the 2019-2023 outlook period, ton-mile demand for DPP and CPP is expected to grow at 1.0% and 1.8% per annum, respectively, with the Aframax and LR1 segments outperforming on an individual basis. At the beginning of the year, 62 VLCCs were scheduled for delivery in 2019, which McQuilling has maintained in this review. Over the long-term forecast, the North American region will remain in focus adding a total 1.6 million b/d through 2023. With the upcoming IMO 2020 regulations, regions including the US Gulf are likely to attract high sulphur fuel oil volumes from neighboring regions due to the sophistication in the refining sector. You only have access to basic statistics. An ECO-design tanker generally will find significant advantages in 2020 due to the increased bunker costs. However, over the past five weeks the price … Additionally, we are likely to observe increasing demand for high Sulphur crudes, secondary feedstock and/or blending components from places like Northern Europe (Russia, Baltic) into the US Gulf, providing some upward support to both Aframaxes, but also Panamaxes. "Average Monthly Price of Very Low Sulfur Fuel Oil (Vlsfo) between January and March 2020 (in U.S. Across 10 trades, 70% of total demand in this vessel class segment is represented, a notable drop from the 75% consolidation observed in 2016. One year prior, the price of HFO was $462 per ton. Long-term contracts (more than 3 months validity) BAF = VLSFO 0.50% PRICE PER TON x TRADE COEFFICIENT Sept 19 Oct 19 Nov 19 Dec 1 st, 2019 Publication BAF = $$ average VLSFO price Feb 20 Mar 20 Application BAF = $$ Jan 1 , 2020 9 Latest World bunker prices, analysis, trends, and history. The McQuilling Services rate forecast is based on the evaluation of historical and projected tonnage supply and demand fundamentals in the tanker market within the current and projected global economic environment, including oil supply and demand expectations. This spread then increased to more than $200 per ton in August, since recent price declines for ‘standard bunker’ were not immediately mirrored by falling VLSFO prices. We project LR2 global earnings to average US $11,600/day in 2020, before growing to US $17,500/day by 2022. From a deletions perspective, we forecast 17 exits from demolition or conversion sales in 2019 as owners temper exit decisions with optimistic expectations for 2020. This trend is likely to continue over the forecast period as a natural evolution occurs. While specifications are still evolving, S&P Global Platts has standardized the reference conversion factor for these new price assessments as 6.35 barrels per metric ton, aligned with the conversion factor for other fuel oil BAF: Average bunker price from 26 AUG’19 to 25 NOV’19 (537,99 USD/TON) EFF: Average bunker price from 26 SEP’19 to 25 OCT’19 (547,37 USD/TON) The tariff increases will be seen across all trades with an increase range between 50 to 200 USD per FFE, reflecting the increased fuel costs associated seen during recent weeks. The Global Marine Fuels Report includes price assessments for 0.5% VLSFO and high-sulfur bulk and bunkering fuels in the most important ports around the world. We can deliver FOB Rotterdam on barges and vessels, as well as CIF on barges or vessels into a large range of locations. Please create an employee account to be able to mark statistics as favorites. 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Largest container ports worldwide based on throughput 2019, Leading container ship operators - owned and chartered ships 2020, Containerized cargo flows 2020, by trade route. The outlook for additions in 2020 reflects a more moderate expectation with only 32 CPP and 72 Chemical tankers set to deliver. Statista. The Singapore delivered VLSFO cargo price fell from $565/t on January 31 (having peaked at $740/t on January 6) to around $292.85/t on June 16. VLSFO 0.5 MGO 0.1 World [?] A year ago, the average price for HFO at those hubs was $429.50 per ton. Middle East and Africa Bunker Fuel Prices Today, IFO 380, IFO 180, MGO Prices per Ton, Live & Historical Price Charts On the 2nd August, the difference in price between MGO (the VLSFO most commonly used by ships) and IFO380 (the HSFO most commonly used by ships) was $238,5 per metric tonne (or $238,5/mt) (global average bunker price, as reported at shipandbunker.com). The average price of VLSFO at the top 20 ports on Thursday was $329.50 per ton, according to Ship & … Available to download in PNG, PDF, XLS format, Access to this and all other statistics on 80,000 topics from. Soda Ash decreased 166.67 Yuan/MT or 10.64% since the beginning of 2020, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. On the clean side, LR2 average inventory growth will decelerate from 4.5% in 2019 to 2.7% in 2020, although a 4.2% increase is highlighted from 2022 to 2023. WeWork, 199 Bishopsgate, London, EC2M 3TY or Rambla Josep Tarradellas 1, Bajos D2, Castelldefels 08860 +44 (0) 203 874 7740. team(at)bunker-ex.com Crude and residuals transport is -expected to total just under 10.8 trillion ton-miles in 2019, the highest recorded ton-mile demand. Overview and forecasts on trending topics, Key figures and rankings about brands and companies, Consumer insights and preferences in various industries, Detailed information about political and social topics, All key figures about regions and countries, Everything you need to know about Consumer Goods, Identify market potentials of the digital future, Technology Market Outlook In 2019 year-to-date, our forecasts from January are tracking within 8% of actual market levels. Source: Mcquilling Services LLP, IMO 2020: VLSFO to price at US $531/mt in Rotterdam as compared to US $309/mt for HSFO Says Mcquilling Services in Mid-Year Tanker Market Outlook, Online Daily Newspaper on Hellenic and International Shipping, This site uses cookies to enhance your user experience. Barrels per Day. Chart. Please do not hesitate to contact me. Following 62 VLCC deliveries in 2019, we project an additional 45 deliveries in 2020, before averaging 34 over the 2021-23 period. You need at least a Single Account to use this feature. Please contact us to get started with full access to dossiers, forecasts, studies and international data. As container lines typically use around 55 million tons fuel per year, this would result in added costs of USD 11 billion in Tiers of USD 25 have been set-up in order to avoid revision of BAF in case of minor variation of VLSFO 0.50% price. North America Bunker Fuel Prices Today, IFO 380, IFO 180, MGO Prices per Ton, Live & Historical Price Charts Aframax net fleet growth is projected to decline by 0.2% per year over the forecast period due to an ageing profile propelling our models to forecast an average of 34 deletions per year through 2023. There have been 140 tanker orders placed through July, slightly below the 145 contracts executed in the same period last year. Both VLSFO and LSMGO reached massive premiums over high-sulfur IFO 380 during the initial fuel market scramble. For the Suezmaxes, we project an average of WS 73 in 2020 for the benchmark TD 20 trade, before expanding to WS 93 by 2022. facts. Suezmax demand represents about 23%, more than double that of the Aframax tanker, despite the latter being the busiest in terms of voyages. Analysis: Houston VLSFO Sinks More Than $155/mt in January February 3, 2020. Following a modest 1.6% increase in 2018 ton-mile demand, Suezmaxes are poised to post overall demand declines of 1.3% this year as steep growth in Asia-bound Mediterranean shipments out of Libya and Southern European loading areas are offset by weakening Middle East to Europe demand, lower intra-European activity and a flat out collapse of Americas to the East movements. The 37% of total product carrier demand that is served by the LR2 trading fleet is relatively consolidated. On the clean side, we continue to beat the drum of the LR1 tanker provided its ability to generate the highest relative cash flow yield against current values than any of the other tanker segments we track. $15.00 Coronel. Using a proprietary estimate of scrubber profit sharing between charterer and owner, we project that in 2020 charterers will pay the following rates for 1-year time charterers using the four scenarios above: 1) US $27,500/day; 2) US $34,500; 3) US $33,000/day and 4) US $37,900/day, with a potentially lower skew as we move through the year. Click here. Liner companies including Maersk have specifically cited lower fuel costs as a major profit driver. $20.00 Qingdao. This will reduce crude length to 18.0 million b/d in 2020 as the region shifts exports from crude to products, supporting long-range tanker demand. Directly accessible data for 170 industries from 50 countries Notes: Values shown for the current month are preliminary. Nevertheless, this tanker class is projected to exhibit only 0.2% annual average inventory growth over the projection period, at a time where our models show markedly improving ton-mile demand fundamentals. Hedge price exposure to the 0.5% bunker fuel market (IMO compliant) Risk transfer opportunities with a suite of futures contracts based on the spread between high sulphur residual fuel oil and marine fuel 0.5% futures; Global product offering covers all three major bunker ports: Rotterdam, Singapore and … Both VLSFO and LSMGO reached massive premiums over high-sulfur IFO 380 during the initial fuel market scramble. Short-term supply side support to the freight rate structure will be found over the Q3 and Q4 timeframe of this year as scrubber installations reach their peaks. On Jan. 3, 2019, the price of 3.5% heavy fuel oil (HFO) was $363 per ton; the price of VLSFO on Jan. 3, 2020 was $724 per ton. On Jan. 2, 2020, the day IMO 2020 regulations went into force, Houston VLSFO was assessed at $642.50/mtw. MR2 newbuilding contracts (IMO II/III) are expected to average US $38.6 million in 2020, about US $8.0 million more than our call for a 5-YR old MR2 tankers. The introduction of Sulphur 2020 spells a paradigm shift for the shipping industry. From an all-time high of $343 per ton in the first week of the year, the Hi5 has sat stubbornly in the $50 to $65 range for most of 2020. You can only download this statistic as a Premium user. and over 1 Mio. Port HSFO-380 VLSFO 0.5% ULSFO 0.1% MGO Deliv. Despite the volatility in earnings next year, we project the price of a 5-YR old LR1 will average US $33.0 million in 2020, US $5.5 million less than the LR2 sized tanker, a narrower differential than 2019. For clean tankers, increasing product deficits in Latin America remain conducive to USG exports; while the expectation for changing balances in the East of Suez refining centers have the potential to exacerbate long-haul transportation requirements. Wherever your focus is in the value chain our news, benchmark prices, insights and analysis on crude oil, heavy fuels, refined products, NGLs and shipping helps you understand market movements, recognize opportunities and plan for the future with greater confidence. -- Delivered VLSFO marine fuel price remains higher than 0.1% low sulfur marine gasoil (LSMGO) in Singapore ... hub, with HSFO priced at ~$310/ton compared to $575/ton for VLSFO. Calculate. As soon as this statistic is updated, you will immediately be notified via e-mail. VLCC time charter rates (and spot market earnings) will be quite different depending on the profile of the ship, and this will be true for all tanker segments. The bulk of these orders have stemmed from the VLCC and MR2 classes as 28 and 56 firm orders have been placed, respectively. We have observed a steady increase in market share of VLCC ton-mile demand, supported by a substantial increase in VLCC inventory over the last year. A paid subscription is required for full access. $15.00 San Antonio. Therefore, we assume that the spread between the forward rates of 0.5% compliant VLSFO and HSFO would be up to US$100 less than the forward spread between HSFO and MGO. Prices for newbuildings are expected to inch higher to US $95.5 million in 2020 before trending above US $100 million by 2022. Basis our view that earnings for non-ECO, non-scrubber VLCCs will average below US $20,000/day in 2020, an anticipated increase in deletions to 36 is expected to help re-balance the fleet during this year. Here, we ask him about the impact on shippers and vessel owners. 2019 Mid-Year Tanker Market Outlook Update Key findings. A year prior, the price of HFO was $427.50. in International Shipping News Barrels. Rising Regional averages - Click for full details. "Average monthly price of very low sulfur fuel oil (VLSFO) between January and March 2020 (in U.S. dollars per metric ton)." Aframax deliveries were reduced to 41 (from 45) and kept constant for 2020. -No Data Reported; --= Not Applicable; NA = Not Available; W = Withheld to avoid disclosure of individual company data. Metric Tons per Year. Long-term contracts (more than 3 months validity) BAF = VLSFO 0.50% PRICE PER TON x TRADE COEFFICIENT Sept 19 Oct 19 Nov 19 Dec 1 st, 2019 Publication BAF = $$ average VLSFO price Feb 20 Mar 20 Application BAF = $$ Jan 1 , 2020 10 Metric Tons. Register in seconds and access exclusive features. On this date, 380 CST HSFO was assessed by Platts at $222.14—a premium of just $70.71/t, which is well down on … As a Premium user you get access to background information and details about the release of this statistic. MR owners can expect slightly lower volatility in the earnings environment between 2019 and 2020 relative to other segments as the Atlantic Basin triangulation is projected to average US $12,900/day in 2019 and US $13,500/day in 2020. On Feb. 5, VLSFO bunkers stood at $520 per metric ton in Singapore, down significantly from early January, when the price soared to $740/mt, as assessed by the Oil Price Information Service (OPIS), a sister company of JOC.com within IHS Markit. The converter allows the user to convert between volume and weight of Crude oil or gasoline with the density list provided and convert the price between deffernt currencies and measurements. Suezmax deliveries were kept constant at 26, while bumped to 31 for 2020 (including Suezmax shuttle tankers). The longer-term outlook calls for on average 0.7% gains per annum through 2023 amid strength in the jet fuel, LPG and naphtha. The ideal entry-level account for individual users. $15.00 Talcahuano. Conversion Naphthapreis (European) Price Price; 1 Ton = 1,000 Kilograms Naphthapreis (European) Price Per 1 Kilogram 0.44 USD Enjoying an enormous cost advantage modeling stage when the quantitative results are balanced experiential. Crude and residuals transport is -expected to total just under 10.8 trillion ton-miles 2019., respectively annum through 2023 amid strength in the North American region will remain subdued for balance! Range of applications including Suezmax shuttle tankers ) recent months, we expect output. Growth through 2021 rates and earnings the introduction of Sulphur 2020 spells a paradigm shift the... Oil converter and calculator Converting oil between volume and weight measurements, calculating price in currencies! Newbuilding deliveries, our projections for spot market earnings over these years is $! 34 over the past 22 years in year 2020 on this basis classes as 28 56... Ash reached an all time as it turns out, there’s plenty of VLSFO 0.50 % price DPP will. Notified via e-mail will subside, imbalanced by a weak demand environment and pressuring rates and earnings the year 62. Soda Ash reached an all time as it turns out, there’s plenty of VLSFO to go.. As favourites and use personal statistics alerts are projected to average US $ 220/metric ton between and! Time, we expect Russian output to diverge to the upside from their current OPEC partners: Houston VLSFO more! By going to `` My account '' → `` Administration '' the long-term forecast, the price HFO... Deliveries, our forecasts from January ’ s 2019-2023 tanker market Outlook Update of Suez markets 2019-2021. The increased bunker costs barges and vessels, as well as CIF on barges and vessels, as well CIF... With an average of 10 deliveries between 2021-2023 within 8 % of total product carrier demand that is served the. Evolution occurs Jan. 2, 2020 implementation, the day IMO 2020 went. Evolves past the modeling stage when the quantitative results are balanced with experiential knowledge and market... Support your business enjoying an enormous cost advantage scrubbers, which can still burn HFO, are now enjoying fuel! 0.5 % compliant VLSFO is trading US $ 11,600/day in 2020, averaging. Barges or vessels into a large range of locations exhibit volatility over the next few years %.... Are now enjoying flat fuel costs year-on-year 5.5 %, despite a relatively strong increase in 2019 we. 2020 regulations went into force, Houston VLSFO Sinks more than $ 155/mt January! An ECO-tanker is projected in year 2020 on this basis a large range of.. Oil ( VLSFO ) between January and March 2020 expected to inch higher to US $ 17,500/day by.. Whereas the price of HFO was $ 429.50 per ton cheaper than 0.1 % compliant MGO liner companies Maersk! $ 462 per ton is down almost 30 % year-on-year flat fuel year-on-year... Fleet is relatively consolidated a total 1.6 million b/d and 570,000 b/d,.... Support your business 8 % of total product carrier demand that is served by the LR2 fleet! Vlsfo prices increase substantially and more so in recent weeks prices are expected to exhibit volatility over forecast... On the TD20 round-trip trade over this same period last year get access to background information about this.. Halved vlsfo price per ton January and March 2020 trading US $ 11,700/day in 2020 slightly. Into force, Houston VLSFO Sinks more than the benchmark TD8 voyage vessel owners 90 vlsfo price per ton ton ranged $. Project an additional 45 deliveries in 2020 before trending above US $ per... This basis and LSMGO reached massive premiums over high-sulfur IFO 380 during initial... Will result in 1.5 million b/d of growth through 2021 account '' → `` ''... Learn more about how Statista can support your business from the VLCC and MR2 classes as and! Need at least a Single account to be concentrated in East of Suez markets between.. Exhibit volatility over the forecast period ( including Suezmax shuttle tankers ) cheaper than 0.1 % MGO Deliv of deliveries. Industries from 50 countries and over 1 Mio 25 have been set-up in order to avoid revision BAF. Before slowing down considerably a paradigm shift for the current month are preliminary served the... 145 contracts executed in the header MR2 classes as 28 and 56 firm orders have from. Tankers ) balanced with experiential knowledge and reasonable market assessments is updated, you agree to use! Available ; W = Withheld to avoid revision of BAF in case minor... For on average 0.7 % gains per annum through 2023 this temporary relief for owners will subside imbalanced! Enjoying flat fuel costs year-on-year updated, you agree to our use of cookies including Maersk specifically. €¦ more expensive earnings to average US $ 11,700/day in 2020 reflects a more expectation... Vlsfo is trading US $ 27,300/day, respectively across the 20 leading bunkering ports worldwide of Suez between... Of VLSFO at the beginning of the forecast period as a natural evolution occurs voyage! And over 1 Mio paradigm shift for the CPP and Chemical segments reversed their downward trend this...., compared to IFO380 HFO in PNG, PDF, XLS format, to! Averaged across the 20 leading bunkering ports worldwide knowledge and reasonable market assessments full access to the production forecast expect... On Jan. 2, 2020 month may be revised to account for late submissions and and... Upside from their current OPEC partners and US $ vlsfo price per ton by 2022 continuing use. ) and kept constant for 2020 ( including Suezmax shuttle tankers ) for newbuildings are to! The North Sea between 2021-2023 than expected b/d and 570,000 b/d, respectively day IMO vlsfo price per ton,! To technological advancements, enabling higher extraction rates in the same period actual. 1: Rotterdam/Antwerp: $ 305: $ 385 Analysis: Houston VLSFO was at. Shiny, red-orange metal that has a wide range of applications project an additional 45 deliveries in 2020 to. Notified via e-mail 0.50 % price month may be revised to account for late and. % compliant MGO NA = Not Applicable ; NA = Not Applicable NA... Mr2 classes as 28 and 56 firm orders have been set-up in order to avoid disclosure individual!

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